Steve Banks
Executive Director
CBAC
You may have noticed that the Crested Butte Avalanche
Center’s daily bulletin has been talking about the persistent slab problem for
most of the winter now. We have also had some other avalanche problems such as
storm slabs, wind slabs and even wet loose avalanche problems. These problems
seem to come and go, while persistent slabs stay in the bulletin day after day.
So when will the persistent slabs go away?
Persistent slabs is the name we give to the avalanche
problem when we have a weak layer that is made up of faceted snow grains, depth
hoar or surface hoar with a thick denser layer above. These types of weak snow
grains tend to change very slowly and often linger throughout the entire winter
season. Really it is a persistent weak layer that is the problem, but since it
is the slab that could potentially
kill you, we call it a persistent slab avalanche problem. These particular weak
layers need a lot of time to morph into a better type of snow grain, and often
we get into full on spring corn cycles before these layers begin to look any better.
So it would seem that if persistent slabs are really a
problem, we must be triggering a lot of avalanches, right? Well, not really.
These weak layers can have a certain amount of strength to them. The trick is
to be able to recognize where and when they are strong enough to support the
overlying snow as well as the additional weight of a backcountry rider. This is
why we perform snowpack test like compression test and extended column tests.
We are trying to determine how strong the weak layers may or may not be. Given
the idea that stronger layers over weaker layers in the snowpack create
avalanches, merely looking at the structure of the snowpack would indicate
dangerous conditions. However snowpack tests are beginning to show harder
results leading us to believe that the snowpack is gaining strength.
Now comes the tricky part. If the weak layers creating the
persistent slab avalanche problem are becoming stronger, how do we know where
and when they are strong enough to trust? It is always difficult to assess
where an avalanche will occur, but it is especially difficult during times of
relatively benign weather. This is when forecasters will be talking about low
likely hood and high consequences avalanches. While it is difficult to initiate
the slide, the resulting failure could entrain a lot of snow and have a life
threatening outcome. So where would you be more likely to trigger an avalanche?
The best way to know the answer is to dig in to the snow to check out the
layering and perform some tests to see just how strong the slab is and just how
weak the weak layers are. In
general we have a weaker snowpack closer to the town of CB where the snowpack
is shallower. Stronger snowpacks can be found deeper in the mountains where the
snowpack is deeper. When in doubt, err on the side of caution, and always
remember to check the current avalanche bulletin at www.cbavalanchecenter.org.
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