Canaries were once used in coal mining as an early warning
system for toxic gases leaking into the mine.
Signs of distress, or worse, a dead bird, would caution the miners that
it was time to retreat from the mine.
Last
week, a warm airmass brought our first real taste of spring to the Elk
Mountains. Nothing out of the ordinary
as far as Crested Butte weather goes, but enough that pale white skin made
its spring debut on Elk Street before hastily retreating to aloe vera
treatments. On Sunday and Monday (March 9 and 10),
temperatures rose to just above freezing at 12,000 feet under an intense March
sun. Days later, following a few inches of snow and
cooler temperatures, we observed the results of some very unnerving deep slab
avalanches. Sometime after Monday evening,
a huge slab tore off of the south face of Mt. Owen. This appeared to be triggered by a cornice
falling onto a shallow part of the slope, but it propagated to parts of the
slab that were 12 feet deep.
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Deep slab on Mt. Owen, first spotted 3/12/14
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Looking down the crown |
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On
Wednesday night, another monster ripped off of a southwest facing ridge near
Avery Peak. This one raised the hairs on
the back of my neck. Two deep slabs back to back,
under relatively mild and stagnant weather. The Avery slide did not appear to be
cornice-fall triggered, and has raised a lot of questions and spurred a lot of
speculation on the failure mechanics among local and statewide avalanche professionals. Although meltwater on high elevation terrain
has been pretty minimal to this point, it seems plausible that a hot spot on
the slope, such as a sunbaked rock or simply an oven-like part of the slope, could have channeled heat and meltwater
into a shallow part of the snowpack.
Once meltwater percolates to a buried weak layer, it can compromise the
layer’s strength causing a wide and destructive failure. The timing of these events can be unpredictable. Maybe warming had subtle effects on the slab properties that added up just enough on this slope. We're still not sure.
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And another. This one near Avery Peak. |
With
just a tease of spring under our belt and much more warm and sunny weather inevitably to
come, this begs the question:
Are we
seeing the tip of the iceberg right now?
Did the canary just faceplant into the bottom of the cage?
Warming and meltwater will continue progressing into the
snowpack, first on southerly slopes, and eventually around the compass to
north.
We know weak layers are at the
bottom of the snowpack lurking and they are proving to be reactive.
Cornice
falls will become more frequent as these overhanging blocks of snow continue to thaw and sag from their own
massive amounts of weight.
We are not out of the woods yet when it comes
to deep slab problems.
These last two
slides should serve as a healthy reminder to use an extra dose of caution this spring in your backcountry travels. Be diligent in your terrain selection and in the attention you give to
weather, snowpack, and avalanche patterns in the upcoming months.
Zach Guy
CBAC Forecaster